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Summary of “How Improved Health Workforce Projection Models Could Support Policy”

Figure 1

The image depicts the growth in employed physician assistants (PAs) and nurse practitioners (NPs) in the United States from 2012 to 2021.

Figure 1. Growth in employed PAs and NPs, 2012-2021. 

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics. National Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates, May 2012-May 2021. Accessed July 20, 2023. https://www.bls.gov/oes/  

Overview

The figure contains a bar chart that shows the growth in employed physician assistants (PAs) and nurse practitioners (NPs) in the United States from 2012 to 2021. It shows that both NP and PA workforces have grown across each year. The number of employed NPs is higher than the number of employed PAs from 2012 to 2021. Employed NPs have more than doubled, while the number of employed PAs have increased at a slower rate. 

Values

Year Employed PAs Employed NPs
2012 83,640  105,780 
2013 88,110  113,370
2014 91,670  122,050
2015 98,470  136,060
2016 104,050  150,230
2017 109,220 166,280 
2018 114,710  179,650 
2019 120,090  200,600 
2020 125,280 211,280 
2021 132,940  234,690 

Presentation 

The bar chart represents employment growth trends of PAs and NPs in the United States. from the years 2012 to 2021. The x-axis represents the years 2012 through 2021 from left to right. The y-axis represents the number of employed PAs and NPs, ranging from 0 to 300,000 from bottom to top. Employment growth of PAs and NPs is represented for each year by two bars from left to right: Employed PAs (gold) and Employed NPs (teal). 

Figure 2

The image depicts the growth in PA and NP graduates in the United States from 2010 to 2020.

Figure 2. Growth in PA and NP graduates, 2010-2020. 

Sources: PA Education Association. Annual reports, 2012-2019. Accessed July 20, 2023. https://paeaonline.org/resources/public- resources/research-reports/program-survey-and-reportsHooker RS, Cawley JF. Physician assistants/associates at 6 decades. Am J Manag Care. 2021;27(11):498-504. doi:10.37765/ajmc.2021.88777 ; Salsberg E. Changes in the Pipeline of New NPs and RNs: Implications for Health Care Delivery and Educational Capacity. Health Affairs Blog. Published 2018. doi:10.1377/hblog20180524.993081; American Association of Colleges of Nursing. Enrollment and Graduations in Baccalaureate and Graduate Programs in Nursing reports, 2018-2019, 2019-2020, and 2020-2021.  

Overview

The figure contains a bar chart that shows the growth in PA and NP graduates in the United States from 2010 to 2020. It shows that the production of new PAs and NPs has increased in the past decade. The number of PA graduates increased by more than 3,000 from 2010 to 2020, and the number of NP graduates more than doubled (an increase of more than 24,000). 

Values  

Year PA Graduates NP Graduates
2010-11 6,545  11,715 
2011-12 6,225  13,809 
2012-13 6,508  15,571 
2013-14 7,556  17,840 
2014-15 7,394  21,506 
2015-16 8,081  24,757 
2016-17 8,336  27,967 
2017-18 9,202  28,700 
2018-19 9,446  30,161
2019-20 10,121 36,000 

Presentation

The bar chart represents growth trends of new PA and NP graduates in the United States from 2010 to 2020. The x-axis represents the years 2010 through 2020 from left to right. The y-axis represents the number of new PA and NP graduates, ranging from 0 to 40,000 from bottom to top. Growth of new PA and NP graduates is represented for each year by two bars from left to right: PA Graduates (gold), and NP Graduates (teal).